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package Math::Business::BlackScholes::Binaries; |
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438078
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use strict; |
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10
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274
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3
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35
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use warnings; |
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423
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5
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our $VERSION = '1.22'; |
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my $SMALLTIME = 1 / ( 60 * 60 * 24 * 365 ); # 1 second in years; |
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use List::Util qw(max); |
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10
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809
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use Math::CDF qw(pnorm); |
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21486
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549
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use Math::Trig; |
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118032
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10
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1268
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use Machine::Epsilon; |
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2661
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19335
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=head1 NAME |
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Math::Business::BlackScholes::Binaries |
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=head1 VERSION |
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Version 1.22 |
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22
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=head1 SYNOPSIS |
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24
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use Math::Business::BlackScholes::Binaries; |
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25
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26
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# price of a Call option |
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27
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my $price_call_option = Math::Business::BlackScholes::Binaries::call( |
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1.35, # stock price |
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1.36, # barrier |
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30
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(7/365), # time |
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31
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0.002, # payout currency interest rate (0.05 = 5%) |
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32
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0.001, # quanto drift adjustment (0.05 = 5%) |
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33
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0.11, # volatility (0.3 = 30%) |
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34
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); |
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35
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36
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=head1 DESCRIPTION |
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37
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38
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Prices options using the GBM model, all closed formulas. |
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39
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40
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Important(a): Basically, onetouch, upordown and doubletouch have two cases of |
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41
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payoff either at end or at hit. We treat them differently. We use parameter |
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42
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$w to differ them. |
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43
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44
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$w = 0: payoff at hit time. |
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45
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$w = 1: payoff at end. |
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46
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47
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Our current contracts pay rebate at hit time, so we set $w = 0 by default. |
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48
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49
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Important(b) :Furthermore, for all contracts, we allow a different |
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50
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payout currency (Quantos). |
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51
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52
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Paying domestic currency (JPY if for USDJPY) = correlation coefficient is ZERO. |
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53
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Paying foreign currency (USD if for USDJPY) = correlation coefficient is ONE. |
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54
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Paying another currency = correlation is between negative ONE and positive ONE. |
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55
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56
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See [3] for Quanto formulas and examples |
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57
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58
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=head1 SUBROUTINES |
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59
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60
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=head2 vanilla_call |
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61
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62
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USAGE |
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63
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my $price = vanilla_call($S, $K, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma) |
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64
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65
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DESCRIPTION |
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66
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Price of a Vanilla Call |
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67
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68
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=cut |
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69
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70
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sub vanilla_call { |
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71
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2
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2
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1
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483
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my ( $S, $K, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma ) = @_; |
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72
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73
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2
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6
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my $d1 = |
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74
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( log( $S / $K ) + ( $mu + $sigma * $sigma / 2.0 ) * $t ) / |
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75
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( $sigma * sqrt($t) ); |
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76
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2
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7
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my $d2 = $d1 - ( $sigma * sqrt($t) ); |
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77
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78
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return |
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79
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2
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12
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exp( -$r_q * $t ) * |
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80
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( $S * exp( $mu * $t ) * pnorm($d1) - $K * pnorm($d2) ); |
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81
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} |
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82
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83
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=head2 vanilla_put |
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84
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85
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USAGE |
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86
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my $price = vanilla_put($S, $K, $t, $r_q, $mu, sigma) |
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87
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88
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DESCRIPTION |
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89
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Price a standard Vanilla Put |
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90
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91
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=cut |
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92
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93
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sub vanilla_put { |
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94
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2
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2
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1
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517
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my ( $S, $K, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma ) = @_; |
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95
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96
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2
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6
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my $d1 = |
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97
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( log( $S / $K ) + ( $mu + $sigma * $sigma / 2.0 ) * $t ) / |
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98
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( $sigma * sqrt($t) ); |
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99
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2
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4
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my $d2 = $d1 - ( $sigma * sqrt($t) ); |
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100
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101
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2
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13
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return -1 * |
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102
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exp( -$r_q * $t ) * |
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103
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( $S * exp( $mu * $t ) * pnorm( -$d1 ) - $K * pnorm( -$d2 ) ); |
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104
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} |
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105
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106
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=head2 call |
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107
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108
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USAGE |
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109
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my $price = call($S, $K, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma) |
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110
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111
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PARAMS |
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112
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$S => stock price |
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113
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$K => barrier |
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114
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$t => time (1 = 1 year) |
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115
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$r_q => payout currency interest rate (0.05 = 5%) |
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116
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$mu => quanto drift adjustment (0.05 = 5%) |
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117
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$sigma => volatility (0.3 = 30%) |
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118
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119
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DESCRIPTION |
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120
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Price a Call and remove the N(d2) part if the time is too small |
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121
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122
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EXPLANATION |
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123
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The definition of the contract is that if S > K, it gives |
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124
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full payout (1). However the formula DC(T,K) = e^(-rT) N(d2) will not be |
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125
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correct when T->0 and K=S. The value of DC(T,K) for this case will be 0.5. |
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126
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127
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The formula is actually "correct" because when T->0 and S=K, the probability |
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128
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should just be 0.5 that the contract wins, moving up or down is equally |
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129
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likely in that very small amount of time left. Thus the only problem is |
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130
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that the math cannot evaluate at T=0, where divide by 0 error occurs. Thus, |
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131
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we need this check that throws away the N(d2) part (N(d2) will evaluate |
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132
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"wrongly" to 0.5 if S=K). |
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133
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134
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NOTE |
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135
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Note that we have call = - dCall/dStrike |
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136
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pair Foreign/Domestic |
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137
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138
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see [3] for $r_q and $mu for quantos |
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139
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140
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=cut |
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141
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142
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sub call { |
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143
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13
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13
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1
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8481
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my ( $S, $K, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma ) = @_; |
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144
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145
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13
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100
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35
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if ( $t < $SMALLTIME ) { |
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146
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2
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100
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8
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return ( $S > $K ) ? exp( -$r_q * $t ) : 0; |
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147
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} |
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148
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149
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11
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59
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return exp( -$r_q * $t ) * pnorm( d2( $S, $K, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma ) ); |
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150
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} |
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151
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152
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=head2 put |
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153
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154
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USAGE |
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155
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my $price = put($S, $K, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma) |
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156
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157
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PARAMS |
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158
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$S => stock price |
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159
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$K => barrier |
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160
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$t => time (1 = 1 year) |
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161
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$r_q => payout currency interest rate (0.05 = 5%) |
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162
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$mu => quanto drift adjustment (0.05 = 5%) |
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163
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$sigma => volatility (0.3 = 30%) |
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164
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165
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DESCRIPTION |
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166
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Price a standard Digital Put |
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167
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168
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=cut |
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169
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170
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sub put { |
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171
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13
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13
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1
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1983
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my ( $S, $K, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma ) = @_; |
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172
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173
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13
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100
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30
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if ( $t < $SMALLTIME ) { |
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174
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2
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100
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17
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return ( $S < $K ) ? exp( -$r_q * $t ) : 0; |
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175
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} |
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176
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177
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return |
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178
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11
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27
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exp( -$r_q * $t ) * pnorm( -1 * d2( $S, $K, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma ) ); |
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179
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} |
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180
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181
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=head2 d2 |
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182
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183
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returns the DS term common to many BlackScholes formulae. |
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184
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185
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=cut |
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186
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187
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sub d2 { |
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188
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22
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22
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1
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22
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my ( $S, $K, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma ) = @_; |
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189
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190
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22
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235
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return ( log( $S / $K ) + ( $mu - $sigma * $sigma / 2.0 ) * $t ) / |
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191
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( $sigma * sqrt($t) ); |
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192
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} |
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193
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194
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=head2 expirymiss |
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195
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196
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USAGE |
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197
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my $price = expirymiss($S, $U, $D, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma) |
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198
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199
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PARAMS |
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200
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$S => stock price |
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201
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$t => time (1 = 1 year) |
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202
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$U => barrier |
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203
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$D => barrier |
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204
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$r_q => payout currency interest rate (0.05 = 5%) |
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205
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$mu => quanto drift adjustment (0.05 = 5%) |
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206
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$sigma => volatility (0.3 = 30%) |
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207
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208
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DESCRIPTION |
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209
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Price an expiry miss contract (1 Call + 1 Put) |
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210
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211
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[3] for $r_q and $mu for quantos |
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212
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213
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=cut |
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214
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215
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sub expirymiss { |
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216
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6
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6
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1
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517
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my ( $S, $U, $D, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma ) = @_; |
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217
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218
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6
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11
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my ($call_price) = call( $S, $U, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma ); |
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219
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6
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11
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my ($put_price) = put( $S, $D, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma ); |
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220
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221
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6
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12
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return $call_price + $put_price; |
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222
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} |
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223
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224
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=head2 expiryrange |
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225
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226
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USAGE |
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227
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my $price = expiryrange($S, $U, $D, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma) |
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228
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229
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PARAMS |
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230
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$S => stock price |
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231
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$U => barrier |
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232
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$D => barrier |
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233
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$t => time (1 = 1 year) |
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234
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$r_q => payout currency interest rate (0.05 = 5%) |
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235
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$mu => quanto drift adjustment (0.05 = 5%) |
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236
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$sigma => volatility (0.3 = 30%) |
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237
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238
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DESCRIPTION |
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239
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Price an Expiry Range contract as Foreign/Domestic. |
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240
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241
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[3] for $r_q and $mu for quantos |
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242
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243
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=cut |
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244
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245
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sub expiryrange { |
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246
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3
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3
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1
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663
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my ( $S, $U, $D, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma ) = @_; |
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247
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248
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3
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25
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return exp( -$r_q * $t ) - expirymiss( $S, $U, $D, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma ); |
|
249
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} |
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250
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251
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=head2 onetouch |
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252
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253
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PARAMS |
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254
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$S => stock price |
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255
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$U => barrier |
|
256
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$t => time (1 = 1 year) |
|
257
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$r_q => payout currency interest rate (0.05 = 5%) |
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258
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$mu => quanto drift adjustment (0.05 = 5%) |
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259
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$sigma => volatility (0.3 = 30%) |
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260
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261
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[3] for $r_q and $mu for quantos |
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262
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263
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=cut |
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264
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265
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sub onetouch { |
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266
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36
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36
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1
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1292
|
my ( $S, $U, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma, $w ) = @_; |
|
267
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268
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# w = 0, rebate paid at hit (good way to remember is that waiting |
|
269
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# time to get paid = 0) |
|
270
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# w = 1, rebate paid at end. |
|
271
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272
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# When the contract already reached it expiry and not yet reach it |
|
273
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# settlement time, it is consider an unexpired contract but will come to |
|
274
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# here with t=0 and it will caused the formula to die hence set it to the |
|
275
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# SMALLTIME which is 1 second |
|
276
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36
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|
74
|
$t = max( $SMALLTIME, $t ); |
|
277
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|
278
|
36
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|
100
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|
87
|
$w ||= 0; |
|
279
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|
280
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|
# eta = -1, one touch up |
|
281
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|
# eta = 1, one touch down |
|
282
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36
|
100
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|
49
|
my $eta = ( $S < $U ) ? -1 : 1; |
|
283
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|
284
|
36
|
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|
38
|
my $sqrt_t = sqrt($t); |
|
285
|
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|
286
|
36
|
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|
46
|
my $theta = ( ($mu) / $sigma ) + ( 0.5 * $sigma ); |
|
287
|
36
|
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|
33
|
my $theta_ = ( ($mu) / $sigma ) - ( 0.5 * $sigma ); |
|
288
|
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|
289
|
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|
|
# Floor v_ squared at zero in case negative interest rates push it negative. |
|
290
|
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|
|
# See: Barrier Options under Negative Rates in Black-Scholes (Le Floc’h and Pruell, 2014) |
|
291
|
36
|
|
|
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|
62
|
my $v_ = sqrt( max( 0, ( $theta_ * $theta_ ) + ( 2 * ( 1 - $w ) * $r_q ) ) ) ; |
|
292
|
|
|
|
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|
293
|
36
|
|
|
|
|
58
|
my $e = ( log( $S / $U ) - ( $sigma * $v_ * $t ) ) / ( $sigma * $sqrt_t ); |
|
294
|
36
|
|
|
|
|
51
|
my $e_ = ( -log( $S / $U ) - ( $sigma * $v_ * $t ) ) / ( $sigma * $sqrt_t ); |
|
295
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
296
|
36
|
|
|
|
|
254
|
my $price = |
|
297
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
( ( $U / $S )**( ( $theta_ + $v_ ) / $sigma ) ) * pnorm( -$eta * $e ) + |
|
298
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
( ( $U / $S )**( ( $theta_ - $v_ ) / $sigma ) ) * pnorm( $eta * $e_ ); |
|
299
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
300
|
36
|
|
|
|
|
71
|
return exp( -$w * $r_q * $t ) * $price; |
|
301
|
|
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|
|
} |
|
302
|
|
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|
303
|
|
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|
|
|
=head2 notouch |
|
304
|
|
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|
|
|
305
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
USAGE |
|
306
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
my $price = notouch($S, $U, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma, $w) |
|
307
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
308
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
PARAMS |
|
309
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$S => stock price |
|
310
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$U => barrier |
|
311
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$t => time (1 = 1 year) |
|
312
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$r_q => payout currency interest rate (0.05 = 5%) |
|
313
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$mu => quanto drift adjustment (0.05 = 5%) |
|
314
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$sigma => volatility (0.3 = 30%) |
|
315
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
316
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DESCRIPTION |
|
317
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Price a No touch contract. |
|
318
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
319
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Payoff with domestic currency |
|
320
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Identity: |
|
321
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
price of notouch = exp(- r t) - price of onetouch(rebate paid at end) |
|
322
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
323
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
[3] for $r_q and $mu for quantos |
|
324
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
325
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
=cut |
|
326
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
327
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
sub notouch { |
|
328
|
7
|
|
|
7
|
1
|
956
|
my ( $S, $U, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma ) = @_; |
|
329
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
330
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# No touch contract always pay out at end |
|
331
|
7
|
|
|
|
|
10
|
my $w = 1; |
|
332
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
333
|
7
|
|
|
|
|
18
|
return exp( -$r_q * $t ) - onetouch( $S, $U, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma, $w ); |
|
334
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
} |
|
335
|
|
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|
336
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# These variables require 'our' only because they need to be |
|
337
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# accessed by a test script. |
|
338
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
our $MAX_ITERATIONS_UPORDOWN_PELSSER_1997 = 1000; |
|
339
|
|
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|
|
|
|
our $MIN_ITERATIONS_UPORDOWN_PELSSER_1997 = 16; |
|
340
|
|
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|
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|
|
341
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# |
|
342
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# This variable requires 'our' only because it needs to be |
|
343
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# accessed via test script. |
|
344
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# Min accuracy. Accurate to 1 dollar for 100,000 notional |
|
345
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# |
|
346
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
our $MIN_ACCURACY_UPORDOWN_PELSSER_1997 = 1.0 / 100000.0; |
|
347
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
our $SMALL_VALUE_MU = 1e-10; |
|
348
|
|
|
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|
|
349
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# The smallest (in magnitude) floating-point number which, |
|
350
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# when added to the floating-point number 1.0, produces a |
|
351
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# floating-point result different from 1.0 is termed the |
|
352
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# machine accuracy, e. |
|
353
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# |
|
354
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# This value is very important for knowing stability to |
|
355
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# certain formulas used. e.g. Pelsser formula for UPORDOWN |
|
356
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# and RANGE contracts. |
|
357
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# |
|
358
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
my $MACHINE_EPSILON = machine_epsilon(); |
|
359
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
360
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
=head2 upordown |
|
361
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
362
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
USAGE |
|
363
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
my $price = upordown(($S, $U, $D, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma, $w)) |
|
364
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
365
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
PARAMS |
|
366
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$S stock price |
|
367
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$U barrier |
|
368
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$D barrier |
|
369
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$t time (1 = 1 year) |
|
370
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$r_q payout currency interest rate (0.05 = 5%) |
|
371
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$mu quanto drift adjustment (0.05 = 5%) |
|
372
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$sigma volatility (0.3 = 30%) |
|
373
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
374
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
see [3] for $r_q and $mu for quantos |
|
375
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
376
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DESCRIPTION |
|
377
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Price an Up or Down contract |
|
378
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
379
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
=cut |
|
380
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
381
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
sub upordown { |
|
382
|
15
|
|
|
15
|
1
|
3315
|
my ( $S, $U, $D, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma, $w ) = @_; |
|
383
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
384
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# When the contract already reached it's expiry and not yet reach it |
|
385
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# settlement time, it is considered an unexpired contract but will come to |
|
386
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# here with t=0 and it will caused the formula to die hence set it to the |
|
387
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# SMALLTIME whiich is 1 second |
|
388
|
15
|
|
|
|
|
37
|
$t = max( $t, $SMALLTIME ); |
|
389
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
390
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# $w = 0, paid at hit |
|
391
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# $w = 1, paid at end |
|
392
|
15
|
100
|
|
|
|
29
|
if ( not defined $w ) { $w = 0; } |
|
|
8
|
|
|
|
|
11
|
|
|
393
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
394
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# spot is outside [$D, $U] --> contract is expired with full payout, |
|
395
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# one barrier is already hit (can happen due to shift markup): |
|
396
|
15
|
100
|
100
|
|
|
61
|
if ( $S >= $U or $S <= $D ) { |
|
397
|
4
|
100
|
|
|
|
12
|
return $w ? exp( -$t * $r_q ) : 1; |
|
398
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
} |
|
399
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
400
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# |
|
401
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# SANITY CHECKS |
|
402
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# |
|
403
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# For extreme cases, the price will be wrong due the values in the |
|
404
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# infinite series getting too large or too small, which causes |
|
405
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|
|
|
|
# roundoff errors in the computer. Thus no matter how many iterations |
|
406
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|
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|
|
# you make, the errors will never go away. |
|
407
|
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|
|
# |
|
408
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|
|
# For example try this: |
|
409
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|
# |
|
410
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|
|
# my ($S, $U, $D, $t, $r, $q, $vol, $w) |
|
411
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|
|
# = (100.00, 118.97, 99.00, 30/365, 0.1, 0.02, 0.01, 1); |
|
412
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|
|
# $up_price = Math::Business::BlackScholes::Binaries::ot_up_ko_down_pelsser_1997( |
|
413
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|
|
# $S,$U,$D,$t,$r,$q,$vol,$w); |
|
414
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|
# $down_price= Math::Business::BlackScholes::Binaries::ot_down_ko_up_pelsser_1997( |
|
415
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|
# $S,$U,$D,$t,$r,$q,$vol,$w); |
|
416
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|
# |
|
417
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|
# Thus we put a sanity checks here such that |
|
418
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|
# |
|
419
|
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|
|
# CONDITION 1: UPORDOWN[U,D] < ONETOUCH[U] + ONETOUCH[D] |
|
420
|
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|
|
# CONDITION 2: UPORDOWN[U,D] > ONETOUCH[U] |
|
421
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|
# CONDITION 3: UPORDOWN[U,D] > ONETOUCH[D] |
|
422
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|
|
# CONDITION 4: ONETOUCH[U] + ONETOUCH[D] >= $MIN_ACCURACY_UPORDOWN_PELSSER_1997 |
|
423
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|
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# |
|
424
|
11
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20
|
my $onetouch_up_prob = onetouch( $S, $U, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma, $w ); |
|
425
|
11
|
|
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|
|
24
|
my $onetouch_down_prob = onetouch( $S, $D, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma, $w ); |
|
426
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|
427
|
11
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|
12
|
my $upordown_prob; |
|
428
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|
429
|
11
|
100
|
75
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|
63
|
if ( $onetouch_up_prob + $onetouch_down_prob < |
|
|
|
100
|
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|
430
|
|
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|
|
$MIN_ACCURACY_UPORDOWN_PELSSER_1997 ) |
|
431
|
|
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|
|
{ |
|
432
|
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|
433
|
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|
|
# CONDITION 4: |
|
434
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|
|
# The probability is too small for the Pelsser formula to be correct. |
|
435
|
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|
|
# Do this check first to avoid PELSSER stability condition to be |
|
436
|
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|
|
# triggered. |
|
437
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|
|
# Here we assume that the ONETOUCH formula is perfect and never give |
|
438
|
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|
|
# wrong values (e.g. negative). |
|
439
|
1
|
|
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|
|
2
|
return 0; |
|
440
|
|
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|
|
} |
|
441
|
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|
|
|
elsif ( $onetouch_up_prob xor $onetouch_down_prob ) { |
|
442
|
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|
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|
443
|
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|
|
# One of our ONETOUCH probabilities is 0. |
|
444
|
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|
|
# That means our upordown prob is equivalent to the other one. |
|
445
|
|
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|
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|
|
# Pelsser recompute will either be the same or wrong. |
|
446
|
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|
|
|
|
# Continuing to assume the ONETOUCH is perfect. |
|
447
|
4
|
|
|
|
|
37
|
$upordown_prob = max( $onetouch_up_prob, $onetouch_down_prob ); |
|
448
|
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|
|
} |
|
449
|
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|
|
else { |
|
450
|
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|
|
451
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# THIS IS THE ONLY PLACE IT SHOULD BE! |
|
452
|
6
|
|
|
|
|
10
|
$upordown_prob = |
|
453
|
|
|
|
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|
|
ot_up_ko_down_pelsser_1997( $S, $U, $D, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma, $w ) + |
|
454
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ot_down_ko_up_pelsser_1997( $S, $U, $D, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma, $w ); |
|
455
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
} |
|
456
|
|
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|
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|
|
457
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# CONDITION 4: |
|
458
|
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|
|
|
# Now check on the other end, when the contract is too close to payout. |
|
459
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# Not really needed to check for payout at hit, because RANGE is |
|
460
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# always at end, and thus the value (DISCOUNT - UPORDOWN) is not |
|
461
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# evaluated. |
|
462
|
10
|
100
|
|
|
|
22
|
if ( $w == 1 ) { |
|
463
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
464
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# Since the difference is already less than the min accuracy, |
|
465
|
|
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|
|
|
|
# the value [payout - upordown], which is the RANGE formula |
|
466
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# can become negative. |
|
467
|
5
|
50
|
|
|
|
18
|
if ( |
|
468
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
abs( exp( -$r_q * $t ) - $upordown_prob ) < |
|
469
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$MIN_ACCURACY_UPORDOWN_PELSSER_1997 ) |
|
470
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
{ |
|
471
|
0
|
|
|
|
|
0
|
$upordown_prob = exp( -$r_q * $t ); |
|
472
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
} |
|
473
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
} |
|
474
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
475
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# CONDITION 1-3 |
|
476
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# We use hardcoded small value of $SMALL_TOLERANCE, because if we were to increase |
|
477
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# the minimum accuracy, and this small value uses that min accuracy, it is |
|
478
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# very hard for the conditions to pass. |
|
479
|
10
|
|
|
|
|
8
|
my $SMALL_TOLERANCE = 0.00001; |
|
480
|
10
|
50
|
33
|
|
|
53
|
if ( |
|
|
|
|
33
|
|
|
|
|
|
481
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
not( $upordown_prob < |
|
482
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$onetouch_up_prob + $onetouch_down_prob + $SMALL_TOLERANCE ) |
|
483
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
or not( $upordown_prob + $SMALL_TOLERANCE > $onetouch_up_prob ) |
|
484
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
or not( $upordown_prob + $SMALL_TOLERANCE > $onetouch_down_prob ) |
|
485
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
) |
|
486
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
{ |
|
487
|
0
|
|
|
|
|
0
|
die "UPORDOWN price sanity checks failed for S=$S, U=$U, " |
|
488
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. "D=$D, t=$t, r_q=$r_q, mu=$mu, sigma=$sigma, w=$w. " |
|
489
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. "UPORDOWN PROB=$upordown_prob , " |
|
490
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. "ONETOUCH_UP PROB=$onetouch_up_prob , " |
|
491
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. "ONETOUCH_DOWN PROB=$onetouch_down_prob"; |
|
492
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
} |
|
493
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
494
|
10
|
|
|
|
|
23
|
return $upordown_prob; |
|
495
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
} |
|
496
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
497
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
=head2 common_function_pelsser_1997 |
|
498
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
499
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
USAGE |
|
500
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
my $c = common_function_pelsser_1997($S, $U, $D, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma, $w, $eta) |
|
501
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
502
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DESCRIPTION |
|
503
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Return the common function from Pelsser's Paper (1997) |
|
504
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
505
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
=cut |
|
506
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
507
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
sub common_function_pelsser_1997 { |
|
508
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
509
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# h: normalized high barrier, log(U/L) |
|
510
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# x: normalized spot, log(S/L) |
|
511
|
14
|
|
|
14
|
1
|
2333
|
my ( $S, $U, $D, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma, $w, $eta ) = @_; |
|
512
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
513
|
14
|
|
|
|
|
14
|
my $pi = Math::Trig::pi; |
|
514
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
515
|
14
|
|
|
|
|
31
|
my $h = log( $U / $D ); |
|
516
|
14
|
|
|
|
|
15
|
my $x = log( $S / $D ); |
|
517
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
518
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# $eta = 1, onetouch up knockout down |
|
519
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# $eta = 0, onetouch down knockout up |
|
520
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# This variable used to check stability |
|
521
|
14
|
100
|
|
|
|
25
|
if ( not defined $eta ) { |
|
522
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
19
|
die "Wrong usage of this function for S=$S, U=$U, D=$D, " |
|
523
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. "t=$t, r_q=$r_q, mu=$mu, sigma=$sigma, w=$w, eta not defined."; |
|
524
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
} |
|
525
|
13
|
100
|
|
|
|
16
|
if ( $eta == 0 ) { $x = $h - $x; } |
|
|
7
|
|
|
|
|
8
|
|
|
526
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
527
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# $w = 0, paid at hit |
|
528
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# $w = 1, paid at end |
|
529
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
530
|
13
|
|
|
|
|
14
|
my $mu_new = $mu - ( 0.5 * $sigma * $sigma ); |
|
531
|
13
|
|
|
|
|
46
|
my $mu_dash = sqrt( max( 0, |
|
532
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
( $mu_new * $mu_new ) + ( 2 * $sigma * $sigma * $r_q * ( 1 - $w ) ) ) ); |
|
533
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
534
|
13
|
|
|
|
|
9
|
my $series_part = 0; |
|
535
|
13
|
|
|
|
|
10
|
my $hyp_part = 0; |
|
536
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
537
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# These constants will determine whether or not this contract can be |
|
538
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# evaluated to a predefined accuracy. It is VERY IMPORTANT because |
|
539
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# if these conditions are not met, the prices can be complete nonsense!! |
|
540
|
13
|
|
|
|
|
19
|
my $stability_constant = |
|
541
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
get_stability_constant_pelsser_1997( $S, $U, $D, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma, |
|
542
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$w, $eta, 1 ); |
|
543
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
544
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# The number of iterations is important when recommending the |
|
545
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# range of the upper/lower barriers on our site. If we recommend |
|
546
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# a range that is too big and our iteration is too small, the |
|
547
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# price will be wrong! We must know the rate of convergence of |
|
548
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# the formula used. |
|
549
|
13
|
|
|
|
|
18
|
my $iterations_required = |
|
550
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
get_min_iterations_pelsser_1997( $S, $U, $D, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma, $w ); |
|
551
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
552
|
13
|
|
|
|
|
21
|
for ( my $k = 1 ; $k < $iterations_required ; $k++ ) { |
|
553
|
195
|
|
|
|
|
228
|
my $lambda_k_dash = ( |
|
554
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.5 * ( |
|
555
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
( $mu_dash * $mu_dash ) / ( $sigma * $sigma ) + |
|
556
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
( $k * $k * $pi * $pi * $sigma * $sigma ) / ( $h * $h ) |
|
557
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
) |
|
558
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
); |
|
559
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
560
|
195
|
|
|
|
|
198
|
my $phi = |
|
561
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
( $sigma * $sigma ) / |
|
562
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
( $h * $h ) * |
|
563
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
exp( -$lambda_k_dash * $t ) * |
|
564
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$k / |
|
565
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$lambda_k_dash; |
|
566
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
567
|
195
|
|
|
|
|
195
|
$series_part += $phi * $pi * sin( $k * $pi * ( $h - $x ) / $h ); |
|
568
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
569
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# |
|
570
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# Note that greeks may also call this function, and their |
|
571
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# stability constant will differ. However, for simplicity |
|
572
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# we will not bother (else the code will get messy), and |
|
573
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# just use the price stability constant. |
|
574
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# |
|
575
|
195
|
50
|
66
|
|
|
381
|
if ( $k == 1 and ( not( abs($phi) < $stability_constant ) ) ) { |
|
576
|
0
|
|
|
|
|
0
|
die |
|
577
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"PELSSER VALUATION formula for S=$S, U=$U, D=$D, t=$t, r_q=$r_q, " |
|
578
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. "mu=$mu, vol=$sigma, w=$w, eta=$eta, cannot be evaluated because" |
|
579
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. "PELSSER VALUATION stability conditions ($phi less than " |
|
580
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. "$stability_constant) not met. This could be due to barriers " |
|
581
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. "too big, volatilities too low, interest/dividend rates too high, " |
|
582
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. "or machine accuracy too low. Machine accuracy is " |
|
583
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. $MACHINE_EPSILON . "."; |
|
584
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
} |
|
585
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
} |
|
586
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
587
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# |
|
588
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# Some math basics: When A -> 0, |
|
589
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# |
|
590
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# sinh(A) -> 0.5 * [ (1 + A) - (1 - A) ] = 0.5 * 2A = A |
|
591
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# cosh(A) -> 0.5 * [ (1 + A) + (1 - A) ] = 0.5 * 2 = 1 |
|
592
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# |
|
593
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# Thus for sinh(A)/sinh(B) when A & B -> 0, we have |
|
594
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# |
|
595
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# sinh(A) / sinh(B) -> A / B |
|
596
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# |
|
597
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# Since the check of the spot == lower/upper barrier has been done in the |
|
598
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# _upordown subroutine, we can assume that $x and $h will never be 0. |
|
599
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# So we only need to check that $mu_dash is too small. Also note that |
|
600
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# $mu_dash is always positive. |
|
601
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# |
|
602
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# For example, even at 0.0001 the error becomes small enough |
|
603
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# |
|
604
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# 0.0001 - Math::Trig::sinh(0.0001) = -1.66688941837835e-13 |
|
605
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# |
|
606
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# Since h > x, we only check for (mu_dash * h) / (vol * vol) |
|
607
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# |
|
608
|
13
|
100
|
|
|
|
22
|
if ( abs( $mu_dash * $h / ( $sigma * $sigma ) ) < $SMALL_VALUE_MU ) { |
|
609
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
1
|
$hyp_part = $x / $h; |
|
610
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
} |
|
611
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
else { |
|
612
|
12
|
|
|
|
|
36
|
$hyp_part = |
|
613
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Math::Trig::sinh( $mu_dash * $x / ( $sigma * $sigma ) ) / |
|
614
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Math::Trig::sinh( $mu_dash * $h / ( $sigma * $sigma ) ); |
|
615
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
} |
|
616
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
617
|
13
|
|
|
|
|
140
|
return ( $hyp_part - $series_part ) * exp( -$r_q * $t * $w ); |
|
618
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
} |
|
619
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
620
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
=head2 get_stability_constant_pelsser_1997 |
|
621
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
622
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
USAGE |
|
623
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
my $constant = get_stability_constant_pelsser_1997($S, $U, $D, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma, $w, $eta, $p) |
|
624
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
625
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DESCRIPTION |
|
626
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Get the stability constant (Pelsser 1997) |
|
627
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
628
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
=cut |
|
629
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
630
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
sub get_stability_constant_pelsser_1997 { |
|
631
|
15
|
|
|
15
|
1
|
2277
|
my ( $S, $U, $D, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma, $w, $eta, $p ) = @_; |
|
632
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
633
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# $eta = 1, onetouch up knockout down |
|
634
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# $eta = 0, onetouch down knockout up |
|
635
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
636
|
15
|
100
|
|
|
|
27
|
if ( not defined $eta ) { |
|
637
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
22
|
die "Wrong usage of this function for S=$S, U=$U, D=$D, t=$t, " |
|
638
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. "r_q=$r_q, mu=$mu, sigma=$sigma, w=$w, Eta not defined."; |
|
639
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
} |
|
640
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
641
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# p is the power of pi |
|
642
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# p=1 for price/theta/vega/vanna/volga |
|
643
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# p=2 for delta |
|
644
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# p=3 for gamma |
|
645
|
14
|
50
|
66
|
|
|
34
|
if ( $p != 1 and $p != 2 and $p != 3 ) { |
|
|
|
|
66
|
|
|
|
|
|
646
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
19
|
die "Wrong usage of this function for S=$S, U=$U, D=$D, t=$t, " |
|
647
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. "r_q=$r_q, mu=$mu, sigma=$sigma, w=$w, Power of PI must " |
|
648
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. "be 1, 2 or 3. Given $p."; |
|
649
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
} |
|
650
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
651
|
13
|
|
|
|
|
16
|
my $h = log( $U / $D ); |
|
652
|
13
|
|
|
|
|
15
|
my $x = log( $S / $D ); |
|
653
|
13
|
|
|
|
|
13
|
my $mu_new = $mu - ( 0.5 * $sigma * $sigma ); |
|
654
|
13
|
|
|
|
|
46
|
my $mu_dash = sqrt( max( 0, |
|
655
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
( $mu_new * $mu_new ) + ( 2 * $sigma * $sigma * $r_q * ( 1 - $w ) ) ) ); |
|
656
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
657
|
13
|
|
|
|
|
27
|
my $numerator = $MIN_ACCURACY_UPORDOWN_PELSSER_1997 * |
|
658
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
exp( 1.0 - $mu_new * ( ( $eta * $h ) - $x ) / ( $sigma * $sigma ) ); |
|
659
|
13
|
|
|
|
|
30
|
my $denominator = |
|
660
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
( exp(1) * ( Math::Trig::pi + $p ) ) + |
|
661
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
( max( $mu_new * ( ( $eta * $h ) - $x ), 0.0 ) * |
|
662
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Math::Trig::pi / |
|
663
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
( $sigma**2 ) ); |
|
664
|
13
|
|
|
|
|
22
|
$denominator *= ( Math::Trig::pi**( $p - 1 ) ) * $MACHINE_EPSILON; |
|
665
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
666
|
13
|
|
|
|
|
16
|
my $stability_condition = $numerator / $denominator; |
|
667
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
668
|
13
|
|
|
|
|
14
|
return $stability_condition; |
|
669
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
} |
|
670
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
671
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
=head2 ot_up_ko_down_pelsser_1997 |
|
672
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
673
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
USAGE |
|
674
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
my $price = ot_up_ko_down_pelsser_1997($S, $U, $D, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma, $w) |
|
675
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
676
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DESCRIPTION |
|
677
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
This is V_{RAHU} in paper [5], or ONETOUCH-UP-KNOCKOUT-DOWN, |
|
678
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
a contract that wins if it touches upper barrier, but expires |
|
679
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
worthless if it touches the lower barrier first. |
|
680
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
681
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
=cut |
|
682
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
683
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
sub ot_up_ko_down_pelsser_1997 { |
|
684
|
6
|
|
|
6
|
1
|
8
|
my ( $S, $U, $D, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma, $w ) = @_; |
|
685
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
686
|
6
|
|
|
|
|
6
|
my $mu_new = $mu - ( 0.5 * $sigma * $sigma ); |
|
687
|
6
|
|
|
|
|
8
|
my $h = log( $U / $D ); |
|
688
|
6
|
|
|
|
|
5
|
my $x = log( $S / $D ); |
|
689
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
690
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
return |
|
691
|
6
|
|
|
|
|
16
|
exp( $mu_new * ( $h - $x ) / ( $sigma * $sigma ) ) * |
|
692
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
common_function_pelsser_1997( $S, $U, $D, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma, $w, 1 ); |
|
693
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
} |
|
694
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
695
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
=head2 ot_down_ko_up_pelsser_1997 |
|
696
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
697
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
USAGE |
|
698
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
my $price = ot_down_ko_up_pelsser_1997($S, $U, $D, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma, $w) |
|
699
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
700
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DESCRIPTION |
|
701
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
This is V_{RAHL} in paper [5], or ONETOUCH-DOWN-KNOCKOUT-UP, |
|
702
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
a contract that wins if it touches lower barrier, but expires |
|
703
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
worthless if it touches the upper barrier first. |
|
704
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
705
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
=cut |
|
706
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
707
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
sub ot_down_ko_up_pelsser_1997 { |
|
708
|
6
|
|
|
6
|
1
|
7
|
my ( $S, $U, $D, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma, $w ) = @_; |
|
709
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
710
|
6
|
|
|
|
|
9
|
my $mu_new = $mu - ( 0.5 * $sigma * $sigma ); |
|
711
|
6
|
|
|
|
|
9
|
my $h = log( $U / $D ); |
|
712
|
6
|
|
|
|
|
5
|
my $x = log( $S / $D ); |
|
713
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
714
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
return |
|
715
|
6
|
|
|
|
|
14
|
exp( -$mu_new * $x / ( $sigma * $sigma ) ) * |
|
716
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
common_function_pelsser_1997( $S, $U, $D, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma, $w, 0 ); |
|
717
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
} |
|
718
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
719
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
=head2 get_min_iterations_pelsser_1997 |
|
720
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
721
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
USAGE |
|
722
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
my $min = get_min_iterations_pelsser_1997($S, $U, $D, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma, $w, $accuracy) |
|
723
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
724
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DESCRIPTION |
|
725
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
An estimate of the number of iterations required to achieve a certain |
|
726
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
level of accuracy in the price. |
|
727
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
728
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
=cut |
|
729
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
730
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
sub get_min_iterations_pelsser_1997 { |
|
731
|
16
|
|
|
16
|
1
|
2790
|
my ( $S, $U, $D, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma, $w, $accuracy ) = @_; |
|
732
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
733
|
16
|
100
|
|
|
|
27
|
if ( not defined $accuracy ) { |
|
734
|
14
|
|
|
|
|
15
|
$accuracy = $MIN_ACCURACY_UPORDOWN_PELSSER_1997; |
|
735
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
} |
|
736
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
737
|
16
|
100
|
|
|
|
43
|
if ( $accuracy > $MIN_ACCURACY_UPORDOWN_PELSSER_1997 ) { |
|
|
|
100
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
738
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
2
|
$accuracy = $MIN_ACCURACY_UPORDOWN_PELSSER_1997; |
|
739
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
} |
|
740
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
elsif ( $accuracy <= 0 ) { |
|
741
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
1
|
$accuracy = $MIN_ACCURACY_UPORDOWN_PELSSER_1997; |
|
742
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
} |
|
743
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
744
|
16
|
|
|
|
|
24
|
my $h = log( $U / $D ); |
|
745
|
16
|
|
|
|
|
14
|
my $x = log( $S / $D ); |
|
746
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
747
|
16
|
|
|
|
|
28
|
my $it_up = |
|
748
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
_get_min_iterations_ot_up_ko_down_pelsser_1997( $S, $U, $D, $t, $r_q, $mu, |
|
749
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$sigma, $w, $accuracy ); |
|
750
|
16
|
|
|
|
|
33
|
my $it_down = |
|
751
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
_get_min_iterations_ot_down_ko_up_pelsser_1997( $S, $U, $D, $t, $r_q, $mu, |
|
752
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$sigma, $w, $accuracy ); |
|
753
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
754
|
16
|
|
|
|
|
19
|
my $min = max( $it_up, $it_down ); |
|
755
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
756
|
16
|
|
|
|
|
33
|
return $min; |
|
757
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
} |
|
758
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
759
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
=head2 _get_min_iterations_ot_up_ko_down_pelsser_1997 |
|
760
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
761
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
USAGE |
|
762
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
my $k_min = _get_min_iterations_ot_up_ko_down_pelsser_1997($S, $U, $D, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma, $w, $accuracy) |
|
763
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
764
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DESCRIPTION |
|
765
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
An estimate of the number of iterations required to achieve a certain |
|
766
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
level of accuracy in the price for ONETOUCH-UP-KNOCKOUT-DOWN. |
|
767
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
768
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
=cut |
|
769
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
770
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
sub _get_min_iterations_ot_up_ko_down_pelsser_1997 { |
|
771
|
35
|
|
|
35
|
|
682
|
my ( $S, $U, $D, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma, $w, $accuracy ) = @_; |
|
772
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
773
|
35
|
100
|
|
|
|
50
|
if (!defined $accuracy) { |
|
774
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
11
|
die "accuracy required"; |
|
775
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
} |
|
776
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
777
|
34
|
|
|
|
|
27
|
my $pi = Math::Trig::pi; |
|
778
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
779
|
34
|
|
|
|
|
26
|
my $h = log( $U / $D ); |
|
780
|
34
|
|
|
|
|
29
|
my $x = log( $S / $D ); |
|
781
|
34
|
|
|
|
|
32
|
my $mu_new = $mu - ( 0.5 * $sigma * $sigma ); |
|
782
|
34
|
|
|
|
|
67
|
my $mu_dash = sqrt( max( 0, |
|
783
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
( $mu_new * $mu_new ) + ( 2 * $sigma * $sigma * $r_q * ( 1 - $w ) ) ) ); |
|
784
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
785
|
34
|
|
|
|
|
33
|
my $A = ( $mu_dash * $mu_dash ) / ( 2 * $sigma * $sigma ); |
|
786
|
34
|
|
|
|
|
39
|
my $B = ( $pi * $pi * $sigma * $sigma ) / ( 2 * $h * $h ); |
|
787
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
788
|
34
|
|
|
|
|
25
|
my $delta_dash = $accuracy; |
|
789
|
34
|
|
|
|
|
55
|
my $delta = |
|
790
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$delta_dash * |
|
791
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
exp( -$mu_new * ( $h - $x ) / ( $sigma * $sigma ) ) * |
|
792
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
( ( $h * $h ) / ( $pi * $sigma * $sigma ) ); |
|
793
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
794
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# This can happen when stability condition fails |
|
795
|
34
|
100
|
|
|
|
49
|
if ( $delta * $B <= 0 ) { |
|
796
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
32
|
die "(_get_min_iterations_ot_up_ko_down_pelsser_1997) Cannot " |
|
797
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. "evaluate minimum iterations because too many iterations " |
|
798
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. "required!! delta=$delta, B=$B for input parameters S=$S, " |
|
799
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. "U=$U, D=$D, t=$t, r_q=$r_q, mu=$mu, sigma=$sigma, w=$w, " |
|
800
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. "accuracy=$accuracy"; |
|
801
|
0
|
|
|
|
|
0
|
return $MAX_ITERATIONS_UPORDOWN_PELSSER_1997; |
|
802
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
} |
|
803
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
804
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# Check that condition is satisfied |
|
805
|
33
|
|
|
|
|
62
|
my $condition = max( exp( -$A * $t ) / ( $B * $delta ), 1 ); |
|
806
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
807
|
33
|
|
|
|
|
34
|
my $k_min = log($condition) / ( $B * $t ); |
|
808
|
33
|
|
|
|
|
22
|
$k_min = sqrt($k_min); |
|
809
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
810
|
33
|
100
|
|
|
|
42
|
if ( $k_min < $MIN_ITERATIONS_UPORDOWN_PELSSER_1997 ) { |
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
811
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
812
|
32
|
|
|
|
|
43
|
return $MIN_ITERATIONS_UPORDOWN_PELSSER_1997; |
|
813
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
} |
|
814
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
elsif ( $k_min > $MAX_ITERATIONS_UPORDOWN_PELSSER_1997 ) { |
|
815
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
816
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
2
|
return $MAX_ITERATIONS_UPORDOWN_PELSSER_1997; |
|
817
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
} |
|
818
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
819
|
0
|
|
|
|
|
0
|
return int($k_min); |
|
820
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
} |
|
821
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
822
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
=head2 _get_min_iterations_ot_down_ko_up_pelsser_1997 |
|
823
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
824
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
USAGE |
|
825
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
826
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DESCRIPTION |
|
827
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
An estimate of the number of iterations required to achieve a certain |
|
828
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
level of accuracy in the price for ONETOUCH-UP-KNOCKOUT-UP. |
|
829
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
830
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
=cut |
|
831
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
832
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
sub _get_min_iterations_ot_down_ko_up_pelsser_1997 { |
|
833
|
16
|
|
|
16
|
|
16
|
my ( $S, $U, $D, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma, $w, $accuracy ) = @_; |
|
834
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
835
|
16
|
|
|
|
|
15
|
my $h = log( $U / $D ); |
|
836
|
16
|
|
|
|
|
17
|
my $x = log( $S / $D ); |
|
837
|
16
|
|
|
|
|
16
|
my $mu_new = $mu - ( 0.5 * $sigma * $sigma ); |
|
838
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
839
|
16
|
|
|
|
|
18
|
$accuracy = $accuracy * exp( $mu_new * $h / ( $sigma * $sigma ) ); |
|
840
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
841
|
16
|
|
|
|
|
26
|
return _get_min_iterations_ot_up_ko_down_pelsser_1997( $S, $U, $D, $t, $r_q, |
|
842
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$mu, $sigma, $w, $accuracy ); |
|
843
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
} |
|
844
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
845
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
=head2 range |
|
846
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
847
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
USAGE |
|
848
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
my $price = range($S, $U, $D, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma, $w) |
|
849
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
850
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
PARAMS |
|
851
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$S stock price |
|
852
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$t time (1 = 1 year) |
|
853
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$U barrier |
|
854
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$D barrier |
|
855
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$r_q payout currency interest rate (0.05 = 5%) |
|
856
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$mu quanto drift adjustment (0.05 = 5%) |
|
857
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$sigma volatility (0.3 = 30%) |
|
858
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
859
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
see [3] for $r_q and $mu for quantos |
|
860
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
861
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DESCRIPTION |
|
862
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Price a range contract. |
|
863
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
864
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
=cut |
|
865
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
866
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
sub range { |
|
867
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
868
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# payout time $w is only a dummy. range contracts always payout at end. |
|
869
|
7
|
|
|
7
|
1
|
1620
|
my ( $S, $U, $D, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma, $w ) = @_; |
|
870
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
871
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# range always pay out at end |
|
872
|
7
|
|
|
|
|
11
|
$w = 1; |
|
873
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
874
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
return |
|
875
|
7
|
|
|
|
|
32
|
exp( -$r_q * $t ) - upordown( $S, $U, $D, $t, $r_q, $mu, $sigma, $w ); |
|
876
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
} |
|
877
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
878
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
=head1 DEPENDENCIES |
|
879
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
880
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
* Math::CDF |
|
881
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
* Machine::Epsilon |
|
882
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
883
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
=head1 SOURCE CODE |
|
884
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
885
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
https://github.com/binary-com/perl-math-business-blackscholes-binaries |
|
886
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
887
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
=head1 REFERENCES |
|
888
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
889
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
[1] P.G Zhang [1997], "Exotic Options", World Scientific |
|
890
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Another good refernce is Mark rubinstein, Eric Reiner [1991], "Binary Options", RISK 4, pp 75-83 |
|
891
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
892
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
[2] Anlong Li [1999], "The pricing of double barrier options and their variations". |
|
893
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Advances in Futures and Options, 10, 1999. (paper). |
|
894
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
895
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
[3] Uwe Wystup. FX Options and Strutured Products. Wiley Finance, England, 2006. pp 93-96 (Quantos) |
|
896
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
897
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
[4] Antoon Pelsser, "Pricing Double Barrier Options: An Analytical Approach", Jan 15 1997. |
|
898
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
http://repub.eur.nl/pub/7807/1997-0152.pdf |
|
899
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
900
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
=head1 AUTHOR |
|
901
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
902
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
binary.com, C<< >> |
|
903
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
904
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
=head1 BUGS |
|
905
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
906
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Please report any bugs or feature requests to |
|
907
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
C, or through the web |
|
908
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
interface at |
|
909
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
L. |
|
910
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
I will be notified, and then you'll automatically be notified of progress on |
|
911
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
your bug as I make changes. |
|
912
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
913
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
=head1 SUPPORT |
|
914
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
915
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
You can find documentation for this module with the perldoc command. |
|
916
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
917
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
perldoc Math::Business::BlackScholes::Binaries |
|
918
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
919
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
920
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
You can also look for information at: |
|
921
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
922
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
=over 4 |
|
923
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
924
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
=item * RT: CPAN's request tracker (report bugs here) |
|
925
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
926
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
L |
|
927
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
928
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
=item * AnnoCPAN: Annotated CPAN documentation |
|
929
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
930
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
L |
|
931
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
932
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
=item * CPAN Ratings |
|
933
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
934
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
L |
|
935
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
936
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
=item * Search CPAN |
|
937
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
938
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
L |
|
939
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
940
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
=back |
|
941
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
942
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
943
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
=head1 LICENSE AND COPYRIGHT |
|
944
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
945
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Copyright 2014 binary.com. |
|
946
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
947
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
This program is free software; you can redistribute it and/or modify it |
|
948
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
under the terms of the the Artistic License (2.0). You may obtain a |
|
949
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
copy of the full license at: |
|
950
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
951
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
L |
|
952
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
953
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Any use, modification, and distribution of the Standard or Modified |
|
954
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Versions is governed by this Artistic License. By using, modifying or |
|
955
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
distributing the Package, you accept this license. Do not use, modify, |
|
956
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
or distribute the Package, if you do not accept this license. |
|
957
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
958
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
If your Modified Version has been derived from a Modified Version made |
|
959
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
by someone other than you, you are nevertheless required to ensure that |
|
960
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
your Modified Version complies with the requirements of this license. |
|
961
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
962
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
This license does not grant you the right to use any trademark, service |
|
963
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
mark, tradename, or logo of the Copyright Holder. |
|
964
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
965
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
This license includes the non-exclusive, worldwide, free-of-charge |
|
966
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
patent license to make, have made, use, offer to sell, sell, import and |
|
967
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
otherwise transfer the Package with respect to any patent claims |
|
968
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
licensable by the Copyright Holder that are necessarily infringed by the |
|
969
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Package. If you institute patent litigation (including a cross-claim or |
|
970
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
counterclaim) against any party alleging that the Package constitutes |
|
971
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
direct or contributory patent infringement, then this Artistic License |
|
972
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
to you shall terminate on the date that such litigation is filed. |
|
973
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
974
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Disclaimer of Warranty: THE PACKAGE IS PROVIDED BY THE COPYRIGHT HOLDER |
|
975
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
AND CONTRIBUTORS "AS IS' AND WITHOUT ANY EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES. |
|
976
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
THE IMPLIED WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY, FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR |
|
977
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
PURPOSE, OR NON-INFRINGEMENT ARE DISCLAIMED TO THE EXTENT PERMITTED BY |
|
978
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
YOUR LOCAL LAW. UNLESS REQUIRED BY LAW, NO COPYRIGHT HOLDER OR |
|
979
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CONTRIBUTOR WILL BE LIABLE FOR ANY DIRECT, INDIRECT, INCIDENTAL, OR |
|
980
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES ARISING IN ANY WAY OUT OF THE USE OF THE PACKAGE, |
|
981
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
EVEN IF ADVISED OF THE POSSIBILITY OF SUCH DAMAGE. |
|
982
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
983
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
984
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
=cut |
|
985
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
986
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1; |
|
987
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|